LA-Sen: Tightening

Southern Media and Opinion Research (6/26-28, likely voters, 3/26-4/9 in parens):

Mary Landrieu (D-inc): 46 (50)

John Kennedy (R): 40 (38)

(MoE: ±4%)

Let’s open ‘er up and look at the innards:

Despite polling under 50 percent, there’s still encouraging news in the poll for Landrieu. A solid 61 percent majority of respondents said they viewed her favorably, with only 33 percent viewing her unfavorably.

Kennedy, for his part, is also viewed favorably by 61 percent of respondents with only 11 percent viewing him unfavorably. Nearly 30 percent of voters were “not familiar” with him.

Bonus finding: McCain leads Obama by 52-36 in the state.

25 thoughts on “LA-Sen: Tightening”

  1. I wasn’t happy when her internal poll had her well in the lead but under 50%.  Obviously, this is worse.  

    Landrieu could be the Lincoln Chafee of Louisiana—people in her state like her, but dislike the party she belongs to.  

    OTOH, I do think Obama is registering new voters there in large numbers, which could help her survive yet another squeaker.  

  2. doesn’t Kennedy have a primary that could go on until September, or October?

    Landrieu could bury Kennedy, spending-wise, whenever they wish.

  3. But I really dont care if she loses.  This is her third re-election, what the hell.  I’m sick of the DSCC having to waste money on her to save her when by now, this should be a piece of cake.  I’m all for expanding the map and keeping competitive in the South but it’s going to come at the expense of a Sen. Franken, Hagan, Merkley, Allen and etc, people who will be more on our side when it matters and who will much easier times getting re-elected on paper.

  4. that stand out to me are these.

    The numbers indicate Landrieu might be better off if Obama did not campaign in Louisiana, partly because Landrieu’s overall favorability rating is 53 percent among white voters while Obama’s is only 26 percent, Pinsonat said. Obama’s “very unfavorable” rating with white voters is 55 percent.

    The poll checked the popularity of President Bush, who got a 56 percent overall favorability rating, higher than in recent national surveys.

    Republican Sen. David Vitter showed a 55 percent overall favorability score.

    Is Louisiana really THAT backwards since Katrina hit?  I’d still question the 56% favorability for Bush.  The last 50-state approval rating for Bush from SurveyUSA showed 47% approve, 51% disapprove for Bush as of November 2006.  Now, approval and favorability aren’t the same thing, but with 47% approval over a year after Katrina hit, I just don’t see Bush’s favorability being 56% in Louisiana today.  It sounds too Republican favored to me.

  5. rLouisiana is undergoing the great environmental crisis facing the country, and it’s unknown. The South Louisiana wetlands, the size of the Florida Everglades, are being eroded away by the gulf at a rate of fifty acres a day. They are just as beautiful as well, and are also an absolute key to the shrimping industry, as this is the shrimp dempend on the marshland to nest and grow to their full length when they ride in from the shore on the spring tides.

    Thousands of anceitn oaks and cyrpesses are dying because of salinity each year, all this is because we completely detained the Mississippi with levels more than 30 feet high, as great expense, only to screw ourselves, as now the natural balance has been interrupted and it would take an estiamted 14 billion dollars and ten years to save an area the size of conneciticut from being eroded away in decades, displacing nearly ahuge number of people, including those in New Orleans, the loss of priceless culture, unique to the U.S., and the great architechture and beauty of New Orleans. An area the size of Manhattan is being eroded every year. Every year more marsh dissolves, every year thousands and thousands more cypresses die and the life in bayous dies. The area is a nesting place for millions of migratory birds, and a natural storm barrier from hurricanes. If it dissapears, storms will be MUCH MUCH more virulent for the state’s two million citizens. The Everglades may be having problems with drying at it’s edges, but Louisiana’s unknown national treausure is set to be almost gone by 2050. The barrier islands aer disappearing.

    For instance, when my 69 year old grandfather was in his teens and twenties, and even thirties, they used to go shrimp fishing, and then spend the night on Last Island, the last island you came to before the open gulf. It had trees, a beach, some little shacks, racoons and squirrels. It was about a square mile. Today, the island no longer exists, it is only a high sand bar that can get a boat stuck if the tides are low enough. This is happening ever4ywhere and it is happening now. Please come together, we must try to save louisiana’s cultural and environmental heritage, a great treasure of our nation. Redthebook, lobby, form groups, work with me, get involved, please.

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